Vegas NFL Picks Week 9
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Drew Brees Reaches Career Passing Milestone.
Drew Brees became the third quarterback in NFL history to reach 6,000 career completions last weekend, joining Brett Favre (6,300) and Peyton Manning (6,125).
The Saints’ quarterback is also the fastest to reach the mark, tossing his 6,000th completion in his 240th game, 19 games faster than Manning as New Orleans (5-2) beat Chicago 20-12. Brees and the Saints lead the NFC South after finishing 7-9 the last three seasons. The last time they reached the playoffs was 2014 when they lost in the divisional round.
Chicago, Cleveland, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota, New England and Pittsburgh are off this week with a bye.
Here are the picks for Week 9 against the spread (odds provided by bovada.lv).
*VGB’s Week 8 record against the spread: 10-3
Bills Beat Jets By Nine In Season Opener
Buffalo at New York Jets — These two AFC East rivals met in Week 1 where the Bills (5-2) beat the Jets (3-5) by nine points. Expect more of the same here on Thursday night as Buffalo looks to extend its winning streak to three games. The Bills are 5-1-1 against the spread (ATS). LeSean McCoy is eighth in the league in rushing, while Micah Hyde leads the league with five interceptions. The Jets are 5-2-1 ATS, but 4-0 at home.
VGB’s pick — Buffalo (-3.5), Under (43)
High-flying Eagles Have Best Record In NFL
Denver at Philadelphia — The Eagles (7-1) have won six straight and hold the best record in the NFL. If they weren’t the favorites to win Super Bowl LII before this week, they are now with the addition of Miami power back Jay Ajayi. The Broncos (3-4) are winless in three tries on the road this season and Trevor Siemian’s job as starting quarterback is in jeopardy. In other words, the Broncos (2-4-1 ATS) are a mess.
VGB’s pick — Philadelphia (-8), Over (43.5)
Rams Unbeaten On Road This Season
Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants — Both teams come into this matchup off a bye week. If the Rams (5-2) want to make the playoffs, this is a must win against the Giants (1-6). L.A. is 3-0 on the road this season and the team is led by running back Todd Gurley, who is fifth in the NFL in rushing. The Rams’ defense, ranked 11th in the league, allows just under 20 points a game, while the Giants score 16 points per game.
VGB’s pick — Los Angeles Rams (-4), Over (42)
Rising Star Passes For 400 Yards In Loss
Indianapolis at Houston — Even though the Texans (3-4) have a losing record, rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson continues to amaze everyone around the league. Houston has only played two teams with losing records. They won both of those games. Watson passed for 400 yards and four touchdowns last weekend, but his three picks killed the Texans. The Colts (2-6) seem lost without Andrew Luck.
VGB’s pick — Houston (-13), Under (50)
Division Leaders Have Won Five Straight
Tampa Bay at New Orleans — These two NFC South rivals are headed in opposite directions. The Saints (5-2), who have won five straight, lead the division. The Bucs (2-5), who have lost four straight, are 2-2 at home this season. The Saints have also won seven of their past nine against the Bucs, who are 1-5-1 ATS. Tampa QB Jameis Winston is 10th in the league in passing yards, but he’s also tied for 10th in interceptions.
VGB’s pick — New Orleans (-7), Under (50)
NFC South Rivals Square Off In Charlotte
Atlanta at Carolina — The other two NFC South rivals meet here in Charlotte. Both teams have better records on the road. The Panthers (5-3) have scored just 43 points in their last three games. The Falcons (4-3) have won once in their last four. Even though both teams have winning records, their MVP quarterbacks are not playing up to an elite level. The Falcons just love to burn money against the spread. They are 2-5 ATS.
VGB’s pick — Carolina (-1), Under (43.5)
Titans Tied For Division Lead In AFC South
Baltimore at Tennessee — The Titans (4-3), who had last week off, are 2-1 at home this season and tied for the lead in the AFC South. The Ravens (4-4), who have won once in their last three, crushed Miami last week 40-0. Quarterback Joe Flacco’s status this week is in question after taking a hit that put him in concussion protocol. If the backup has to start, Baltimore will be a tough team to bet on. They’re also 4-4 ATS.
VGB’s pick — Line off because of injuries.
Jaguars Have Outscored Foes By 73 points
Cincinnati at Jacksonville — The Bengals (3-4) have won three of their last four. The Jaguars (4-3), who are coming off a bye week, are 1-2 at home but have outscored their opponents by 73 points on the season. It’s time for Jacksonville to break its trend of win-lose-win-lose and prove it is a playoff contender. The Jaguars lead the league in pass defense and points allowed per game. The Bengals have one of the best defenses in the league as well.
VGB’s pick — Jacksonville (-5), Under (39.5)
Redskins Unbeaten Against West Coast Teams
Washington at Seattle — Before you write off the Redskins (3-4) in this one, all three of their victories have come against West Coast teams. But they are 2-5 ATS. The Seahawks (5-2) won a thriller last week for their fourth straight win. Russell Wilson threw for 452 yards and four touchdowns against a top-rated defense in the Texans. The Seahawks are 3-4 ATS for the year. They are 3-0 at home, but 1-2 ATS.
VGB’s pick — Washington (+7.5), Over (45)
49ers Deal For Brady’s Backup In Garoppolo
Arizona at San Francisco — Two teams going nowhere fast square off in this NFC West matchup. The 49ers (0-8) made a deal with New England for Tom Brady’s backup in Jimmy Garoppolo, but he is not expected to start this week. The Cardinals (3-4) are the worst team in the NFL against the spread at 1-6. With Carson Palmer on injured reserve, Drew Stanton will be making his first start of the season.
VGB’s pick — San Francisco (+2), Under (39.5)
Chiefs Have Not Won In Dallas Since 1975
Kansas City at Dallas — The Ezekiel Elliott six-game suspension is on again. Or is it? It could mean the Cowboys (4-3) meet one of the best teams in the AFC without their star running back. It also puts a lot more pressure on quarterback Dak Prescott. The Chiefs (6-2) have not won in Dallas since 1975, but they are 6-1 in their last seven games against NFC teams. The Cowboys are 4-3 ATS this season, but 1-2 at home.
VGB’s pick — Line off due to possible suspension.
Raiders’ Season On Line Against Dolphins
Oakland at Miami — If the Raiders (3-5) don’t win this game, their season is all but over. The Dolphins (4-3) are not a good team, especially on offense. Their four-game win streak came to a screeching halt last week when they lost 40-0 with less than 200 yards on total offense. Miami is a good team against the run, so the Raiders will have to do it with the passing game. The Dolphins are 3-3-1 ATS, while the Raiders are 3-5 ATS.
VGB’s pick — Oakland (-3), Under (44)
Packers Will Sputter Without Rodgers
Detroit at Green Bay — If your franchise quarterback doesn’t play, good luck winning in this league. It’s true of most teams in the NFL. Minnesota is one of the few that is doing a great job without its first two starters, but no other team can say that. The Packers (4-3) are no different. Without Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay is a .500 team at best. The Packers have won their last three meetings against the Lions (3-4), but Rodgers played in all of them.
VGB’s pick — Detroit (-3), Over (43)
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