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Mon 03/06/2019 - 08:03 EDT

NBA Finals Odds 2019: Will The Warriors Win it Again

Three-peat for Warriors?

Some were calling for the Golden State Warriors to sweep the 2019 NBA Finals. Most were predicting the lopsided favorites to win the best-of-seven series over the Toronto Raptors in five or six games.

After the first two games of the championship, this has looked anything but an easy journey for the two-time defending champions who have won three of the last four league titles. The NBA Final Odds have drastically changed as well (Vegas Odds NBA Finals provided by Bovada).

  • Future betting line before start of series: Golden State -300, Toronto +250
  • Future betting line after Toronto win in Game 1: Golden State -150, Toronto +130

This is the Raptors first trip to the finals in the team’s 24-year history compared to the Warriors, who have now played in the championship for five consecutive seasons.

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NBA Final Odds Explained

Even with an injured Kevin Durant missing the first two games of the series, this was supposed to be another glorious chapter in the Warriors’ dynasty. Now that the Raptors are trying to rewrite the script, the NBA Finals Betting Odds are changing with them.

Any time a bettor looks at an odds board and sees a minus sign in front of the posted odds, that indicates the favorite in the event. The number that follows is the amount of money that must be wagered to win $100.

Golden State was -300 before the championship series started, meaning a bettor had to wager $300 to earn a $100 profit ($300 bet + $100 profit = $400 total return). After losing Game 1, the odds shifted to -150 on the Warriors to win the title. That means a bettor would have to wager $150 to earn a $100 profit ($150 bet + $100 profit = $250 total return).

Any time a bettor sees a plus sign in front of the posted odds, that indicates the underdog or long shot in the matchup. The number that follows is the amount of profit a bettor makes on a $100 bet.

Toronto was +250 before the series started, meaning a $100 bet on the Raptor to win the championship would return $350 in total ($100 bet + $250 profit = $350 total return). After winning Game 1, Toronto remained the underdog in the series, but the odds plummeted to +130. That means a bettor will now earn a $130 profit on a $100 bet ($100 bet + $130 profit = $230 total return).

The future odds will constantly shift throughout the series on top-ranked online sites like Bovada, but your betting line is fixed at the time of your bet.

If a bettor wants to wager on more than just the NBA champion, there are common wagers available for each game like the money line, point spread and over/under totals. Bettors can also load up on prop bets, too, wagering on betting lines for each quarter of the game, how many points certain players will score or predicting the exact result of the series.

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NBA Finals Prediction

The two conference champions met twice in the NBA Regular Season with the Raptors winning them both — 131-128 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and 113-93 at Oracle Arena in Oakland.

Let’s go by the numbers and compare records for the finalists:

    • Toronto (58-24, second overall in the Eastern Conference), 32-9 at home, 26-15 on the road, 22-8 against Western Conference teams. Against the spread: 37-44-1 during regular season and 11-9 during playoffs.
    • Golden State (57-25, first in the Western Conference), 30-11 at home, 27-14 on the road, 22-8 against Eastern Conference teams. Against the spread: 35-46-1 during regular season and 8-9-1 during playoffs

The 2019 NBA Finals is a marquee matchup of the Warriors and their three-point snipers Steph Curry and Klay Thompson against the Raptors and their superstar Kawhi Leonard.

In the first NBA Finals game ever played outside of the U.S., Pascal Siakam scored a playoff career-high 32 points as the Raptors hardly looked like newcomers to the biggest stage in basketball. Curry, with 34, and Thompson, with 21, led the Warriors who had won all four Game 1s in the last four years. But a superb defense and great play by a supporting cast gave Raptor superfan Drake and the rest of Canada a lot to cheer about as Toronto won the opener 118-109.

In Game 2, the Raptors simply ran out of gas. An 18-0 run in the third quarter put the Warriors ahead for good and sent the series west to California tied 1-1. Thompson (25) and Curry (23) combined to score 48 points for Golden State, which trailed by five at the half but won by five in the end 109-104. Leonard scored 34 for the Raptors, who shot less than 40 per cent from the floor and 30 per cent from the three-point line.

This series has a shot to go the distance if the Raptors can win a game in Oakland. But they must continue to be the better team on defense because they’re never going to completely shut down Curry and Thompson.

Pick — Golden State (-150). The Warriors will still win this series in six, but if Durant comes back for Game 3, Golden State may just sweep the remaining games and end it in five. They would become the first team to three-peat since the Lakers dominated the league from 2000-2002.

See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you: