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Wed 31/05/2017 - 03:48 EDT

Golden State Vs. Cleveland Vegas Betting Odds

NBA Finals wagering advice

All betting lines brought to you by Topbet

Golden State Warriors (-260) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (+200)

Let’s cut to the chase here: You shouldn’t be betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers to win the NBA Finals. 

It sounds ridiculous. They are the reigning champs! They have LeBron James! They’re 12-1 through their first 13 playoff games!

All that is true, but the Golden State Warriors are the noticeably better team, and the sportsbooks are treating them that way. And they’re even being kind. Playoff probability models view the Cavaliers in a lesser light. Very few, if any, are giving them more than a 30 percent chance to win. 

And rightfully so. 

The Cavaliers have the postseason’s best offense, according to NBA.com, and it isn’t even slightly close. They’re tallying 120.7 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors themselves are the next closest team, and they’re putting in 115.8 points per 100 possessions—nearly five points less.

Looking beyond the fact that Golden State has turned to its reserves in garbage time more, thereby diminishing its offensive returns overall, Cleveland is free to score as much as it wants. It still won’t be able to defend the Warriors. That’s the upshot of them adding Kevin Durant: The previous method of leaving Harrison Barnes unattended no longer makes sense, because he’s been replaced by one of the best, most dead-eye shooters in NBA history.

In no uncertain terms, the Cavaliers will be lucky to last six games against this group. And it’s fine to give them six games, because again, they have LeBron. He is playing the best postseason basketball of his career. Having him at his peak, with Kyrie Irving scoring as efficiently as he is in isolation situations, could and should be good for two victories.

It’s futile to bet on them winning the entire shebang, though. It’s not going to happen. If it does, it’ll be a miracle. And you need way more than +200 returns to bet on long-shot miracles. 

warriors

In the event you are going to bet on the Cavaliers, you might as well wait until after Game 1 or even Game 2, when they’re presumably down in the series score and the potential return is even more lucrative. You’ll want to wager money you’re more than ready to lose, but otherwise, this is the way to go if you’re bent on investing in the Cavaliers.

As for the Warriors, you can roll with their moneyline now. Bankrolling -260 returns isn’t totally terrible. But picking the length of the series will snag you an even bigger possible profit. Betting on a sweep, for instance, yields +550 odds. Rolling with the Warriors in five games gets you +250.

Our pick, though, lies with the Warriors in six games. Once again, we’re counting on the history between these two teams, coupled with the stakes, the improvement of Cleveland’s supporting cast and the sheer willpower of LeBron, resulting in two victories. 

Expecting anything more out of the Cavaliers, though, is a recipe for disaster.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors (-260) in six games (+375)

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Competitions Away Score Home Money Line
October 2017 (12)
Wed 4 Hawks 109 - 93 Cavaliers +265 -323 Odds
Fri 6 Pacers 106 - 102 Cavaliers +165 -189 Odds
Sun 8 Cavaliers 94 - 102 Wizards +240 -278 Odds
Tue 10 Bulls 108 - 94 Cavaliers +360 -455 Odds
Fri 13 Cavaliers 113 - 106 Magic -130 +110 Odds
Tue 17 Celtics 99 - 102 Cavaliers +175 -189 Odds
Fri 20 Cavaliers 116 - 97 Bucks +105 -112 Odds
Sat 21 Magic 114 - 93 Cavaliers +660 -833 Odds
Tue 24 Bulls 112 - 119 Cavaliers +1350 -1667 Odds
Wed 25 Cavaliers 107 - 112 Nets -294 +280 Odds
Sat 28 Cavaliers 101 - 123 Pelicans -135 +125 Odds
Sun 29 Knicks 114 - 95 Cavaliers +480 -556 Odds
November 2017 (15)
Wed 1 Pacers 124 - 107 Cavaliers +405 -500 Odds
Fri 3 Cavaliers 130 - 122 Wizards +135 -145 Odds
Sun 5 Hawks 117 - 115 Cavaliers +610 -833 Odds
Tue 7 Bucks 119 - 124 Cavaliers +189 -200 Odds
Thu 9 Cavaliers 113 - 117 Rockets +190 -204 Odds
Sat 11 Cavaliers 111 - 104 Mavs -227 +210 Odds
Mon 13 Cavaliers 104 - 101 Knicks -208 +190 Odds
Wed 15 Cavaliers 115 - 107 Hornets Odds
Fri 17 Clippers 113 - 118 Cavaliers +245 -256 Odds
Mon 20 Cavaliers 116 - 88 Pistons -130 +110 Odds
Wed 22 Nets 109 - 119 Cavaliers +580 -714 Odds
Fri 24 Hornets 99 - 100 Cavaliers +195 -213 Odds
Mon 27 Cavaliers 113 - 91 Sixers +120 -130 Odds
Tue 28 Miami Heat 97 - 108 Cavaliers +160 -169 Odds
Thu 30 Cavaliers 121 - 114 Hawks -313 +280 Odds
December 2017 (14)
Sat 2 Grizzlies 111 - 116 Cavaliers +635 -833 Odds
Mon 4 Cavaliers 113 - 91 Bulls -417 +365 Odds
Wed 6 Kings 95 - 101 Cavaliers +725 -1000 Odds
Fri 8 Cavaliers 102 - 106 Pacers -154 +145 Odds
Sat 9 Sixers 98 - 105 Cavaliers +185 -208 Odds
Tue 12 Hawks 114 - 123 Cavaliers +635 -833 Odds
Thu 14 Lakers 112 - 121 Cavaliers +430 -526 Odds
Sat 16 Utah Jazz 100 - 109 Cavaliers +423 -476 Odds
Sun 17 Cavaliers 106 - 99 Wizards +115 -125 Odds
Tue 19 Cavaliers 116 - 119 Bucks -105 -102 Odds
Thu 21 Bulls 112 - 115 Cavaliers +515 -625 Odds
Mon 25 Cavaliers 92 - 99 Warriors +167 -179 Odds
Wed 27 Cavaliers 95 - 109 Kings -400 +360 Odds
Sat 30 Cavaliers 101 - 104 Utah Jazz -145 +135 Odds
January 2018 (14)
Tue 2 Blazers 110 - 127 Cavaliers +375 -417 Odds
Wed 3 Cavaliers 88 - 102 Celtics +140 -145 Odds
Sat 6 Cavaliers 131 - 127 Magic -400 +360 Odds
Mon 8 Cavaliers 99 - 127 Wolves -105 -105 Odds
Thu 11 Cavaliers 99 - 133 Raptors -135 +125 Odds
Fri 12 Cavaliers 95 - 97 Pacers -120 +110 Odds
Mon 15 Warriors 118 - 108 Cavaliers -222 +205 Odds
Thu 18 Magic 103 - 104 Cavaliers +600 -769 Odds
Sat 20 Thunder 148 - 124 Cavaliers +130 -141 Odds
Tue 23 Cavaliers 102 - 114 Spurs -130 +120 Odds
Fri 26 Pacers 108 - 115 Cavaliers +245 -256 Odds
Sun 28 Pistons 104 - 121 Cavaliers +285 -333 Odds
Tue 30 Cavaliers 114 - 125 Pistons -244 +225 Odds
Wed 31 Miami Heat 89 - 91 Cavaliers +125 -135 Odds
February 2018 (10)
Sat 3 Rockets 120 - 88 Cavaliers -161 +150 Odds
Tue 6 Cavaliers 98 - 116 Magic -278 +280 Odds
Wed 7 Wolves 138 - 140 Cavaliers -147 +147 Odds
Fri 9 Cavaliers 123 - 107 Hawks -130 +110 Odds
Sun 11 Cavaliers 121 - 99 Celtics +177 -208 Odds
Tue 13 Cavaliers 120 - 112 Thunder +140 -161 Odds
Thu 22 Wizards 110 - 103 Cavaliers +470 -588 Odds
Fri 23 Cavaliers 112 - 89 Grizzlies -213 +185 Odds
Sun 25 Spurs 110 - 94 Cavaliers +170 -196 Odds
Tue 27 Nets 123 - 129 Cavaliers +500 -667 Odds
March 2018 (16)
Thu 1 Sixers 108 - 97 Cavaliers +137 -156 Odds
Sat 3 Nuggets 126 - 117 Cavaliers +145 -164 Odds
Mon 5 Pistons 90 - 112 Cavaliers +220 -256 Odds
Wed 7 Cavaliers 113 - 108 Nuggets +136 -156 Odds
Fri 9 Cavaliers 102 - 116 Clippers -123 +103 Odds
Sun 11 Cavaliers 113 - 127 Lakers -145 +125 Odds
Tue 13 Cavaliers 129 - 107 Suns -357 +300 Odds
Thu 15 Cavaliers 105 - 113 Blazers +195 -227 Odds
Sat 17 Cavaliers 114 - 109 Bulls -303 +255 Odds
Mon 19 Bucks 117 - 124 Cavaliers +130 -149 Odds
Wed 21 Raptors 129 - 132 Cavaliers -125 +105 Odds
Fri 23 Suns 95 - 120 Cavaliers +1275 -2000 Odds
Sun 25 Cavaliers 121 - 114 Nets -323 +270 Odds
Tue 27 Cavaliers 79 - 98 Miami Heat -133 +114 Odds
Wed 28 Cavaliers 118 - 105 Hornets +105 -125 Odds
Fri 30 Pelicans 102 - 107 Cavaliers +185 -213 Odds
April 2018 (13)
Sun 1 Mavs 87 - 98 Cavaliers +580 -769 Odds
Tue 3 Raptors 106 - 112 Cavaliers +105 -125 Odds
Thu 5 Wizards 115 - 119 Cavaliers +205 -244 Odds
Fri 6 Cavaliers 130 - 132 Sixers +155 -175 Odds
Mon 9 Cavaliers 123 - 109 Knicks -1000 +725 Odds
Wed 11 Knicks 110 - 98 Cavaliers +305 -370 Odds
Sun 15 Pacers 98 - 80 Cavaliers +345 -417 Odds
Wed 18 Pacers 97 - 100 Cavaliers +355 -417 Odds
Fri 20 Cavaliers 90 - 92 Pacers +103 -123 Odds
Sun 22 Cavaliers 104 - 100 Pacers -135 +115 Odds
Wed 25 Pacers 95 - 98 Cavaliers +260 -313
Fri 27 Cavaliers 87 - 121 Pacers +107 -127
Sun 29 Pacers 101 - 105 Cavaliers +225 -263
May 2018 (12)
Tue 1 Cavaliers 113 - 112 Raptors +225 -263
Thu 3 Cavaliers 128 - 110 Raptors +255 -303
Sat 5 Raptors 103 - 105 Cavaliers +170 -196
Mon 7 Raptors 93 - 128 Cavaliers +185 -213
Sun 13 Cavaliers 83 - 108 Celtics -115 -105
Tue 15 Cavaliers 94 - 107 Celtics -110 -110
Sat 19 Celtics 86 - 116 Cavaliers +250 -303
Mon 21 Celtics 102 - 111 Cavaliers +255 -303
Wed 23 Cavaliers 83 - 96 Celtics +105 -125
Fri 25 Celtics 99 - 109 Cavaliers +260 -313
Sun 27 Cavaliers 87 - 79 Celtics +135 -154
Thu 31 Cavaliers 114 - 124 Warriors +620 -833
June 2018 (3)
Sun 3 Cavaliers 103 - 122 Warriors +410 -500
Wed 6 Warriors 110 - 102 Cavaliers -141 +120
Fri 8 Warriors 108 - 85 Cavaliers -167 +147

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