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Wed 31/05/2017 - 03:48 EDT

Golden State Vs. Cleveland Vegas Betting Odds

NBA Finals wagering advice

All betting lines brought to you by Topbet

Golden State Warriors (-260) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (+200)

Let’s cut to the chase here: You shouldn’t be betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers to win the NBA Finals. 

It sounds ridiculous. They are the reigning champs! They have LeBron James! They’re 12-1 through their first 13 playoff games!

All that is true, but the Golden State Warriors are the noticeably better team, and the sportsbooks are treating them that way. And they’re even being kind. Playoff probability models view the Cavaliers in a lesser light. Very few, if any, are giving them more than a 30 percent chance to win. 

And rightfully so. 

The Cavaliers have the postseason’s best offense, according to NBA.com, and it isn’t even slightly close. They’re tallying 120.7 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors themselves are the next closest team, and they’re putting in 115.8 points per 100 possessions—nearly five points less.

Looking beyond the fact that Golden State has turned to its reserves in garbage time more, thereby diminishing its offensive returns overall, Cleveland is free to score as much as it wants. It still won’t be able to defend the Warriors. That’s the upshot of them adding Kevin Durant: The previous method of leaving Harrison Barnes unattended no longer makes sense, because he’s been replaced by one of the best, most dead-eye shooters in NBA history.

In no uncertain terms, the Cavaliers will be lucky to last six games against this group. And it’s fine to give them six games, because again, they have LeBron. He is playing the best postseason basketball of his career. Having him at his peak, with Kyrie Irving scoring as efficiently as he is in isolation situations, could and should be good for two victories.

It’s futile to bet on them winning the entire shebang, though. It’s not going to happen. If it does, it’ll be a miracle. And you need way more than +200 returns to bet on long-shot miracles. 

warriors

In the event you are going to bet on the Cavaliers, you might as well wait until after Game 1 or even Game 2, when they’re presumably down in the series score and the potential return is even more lucrative. You’ll want to wager money you’re more than ready to lose, but otherwise, this is the way to go if you’re bent on investing in the Cavaliers.

As for the Warriors, you can roll with their moneyline now. Bankrolling -260 returns isn’t totally terrible. But picking the length of the series will snag you an even bigger possible profit. Betting on a sweep, for instance, yields +550 odds. Rolling with the Warriors in five games gets you +250.

Our pick, though, lies with the Warriors in six games. Once again, we’re counting on the history between these two teams, coupled with the stakes, the improvement of Cleveland’s supporting cast and the sheer willpower of LeBron, resulting in two victories. 

Expecting anything more out of the Cavaliers, though, is a recipe for disaster.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors (-260) in six games (+375)

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Competitions Away Score Home Money Line
October 2016 (9)
Wed 5 Magic 102 - 117 Cavaliers +175 -189 Odds
Sat 8 Sixers 105 - 108 Cavaliers +230 -263 Odds
Mon 10 Cavaliers 93 - 99 Hawks +270 -313 Odds
Thu 13 Raptors 119 - 94 Cavaliers +170 -189 Odds
Fri 14 Cavaliers 108 - 118 Bulls +270 -270 Odds
Tue 18 Wizards 96 - 91 Cavaliers +190 -217 Odds
Tue 25 Knicks 88 - 117 Cavaliers +405 -500
Fri 28 Cavaliers 94 - 91 Raptors
Sat 29 Magic 99 - 105 Cavaliers
November 2016 (13)
Tue 1 Rockets 120 - 128 Cavaliers
Thu 3 Celtics 122 - 128 Cavaliers +550 -667 Odds
Sat 5 Cavaliers 102 - 101 Sixers -1000 +850 Odds
Tue 8 Hawks 110 - 106 Cavaliers +305 -333 Odds
Fri 11 Cavaliers 105 - 94 Wizards -333 +290 Odds
Sun 13 Hornets 93 - 100 Cavaliers +270 -313 Odds
Tue 15 Raptors 117 - 121 Cavaliers +215 -233 Odds
Wed 16 Cavaliers 93 - 103 Pacers +135 -145 Odds
Fri 18 Pistons 81 - 104 Cavaliers +360 -400 Odds
Wed 23 Blazers 125 - 137 Cavaliers +700 -909 Odds
Fri 25 Mavs 90 - 128 Cavaliers +1050 -1250 Odds
Sun 27 Cavaliers 112 - 108 Sixers -769 +650 Odds
Tue 29 Cavaliers 101 - 118 Bucks -303 +270 Odds
December 2016 (16)
Thu 1 Clippers 113 - 94 Cavaliers +155 -164 Odds
Fri 2 Cavaliers 105 - 111 Bulls -118 +108 Odds
Mon 5 Cavaliers 116 - 112 Raptors +115 -125 Odds
Wed 7 Cavaliers 126 - 94 Knicks -370 +330 Odds
Fri 9 Miami Heat 84 - 114 Cavaliers +668 -833 Odds
Sat 10 Hornets 105 - 116 Cavaliers +315 -345 Odds
Tue 13 Grizzlies 86 - 103 Cavaliers +875 -1250 Odds
Wed 14 Cavaliers 85 - 93 Grizzlies +255 -278 Odds
Sat 17 Lakers 108 - 119 Cavaliers +1575 -2000 Odds
Tue 20 Cavaliers 114 - 108 Bucks -149 +145 Odds
Wed 21 Bucks 102 - 113 Cavaliers +255 -278 Odds
Fri 23 Nets 99 - 119 Cavaliers +1950 -2500 Odds
Sun 25 Warriors 108 - 109 Cavaliers -149 +144 Odds
Mon 26 Cavaliers 90 - 106 Pistons +190 -200 Odds
Thu 29 Celtics 118 - 124 Cavaliers +230 -250 Odds
Sat 31 Cavaliers 121 - 109 Hornets -112 +103 Odds
January 2017 (15)
Mon 2 Pelicans 82 - 90 Cavaliers +390 -435 Odds
Wed 4 Bulls 106 - 94 Cavaliers +170 -169 Odds
Fri 6 Cavaliers 116 - 108 Nets -1000 +800 Odds
Sun 8 Cavaliers 120 - 116 Suns -385 +340 Odds
Tue 10 Cavaliers 92 - 100 Utah Jazz -115 +107 Odds
Wed 11 Cavaliers 86 - 102 Blazers -204 +185 Odds
Fri 13 Cavaliers 120 - 108 Kings -256 +245 Odds
Mon 16 Cavaliers 91 - 126 Warriors +380 -417 Odds
Thu 19 Suns 103 - 118 Cavaliers +600 -714 Odds
Sat 21 Spurs 118 - 115 Cavaliers +150 -161 Odds
Mon 23 Cavaliers 122 - 124 Pelicans -526 +450 Odds
Wed 25 Kings 116 - 112 Cavaliers +545 -667 Odds
Fri 27 Nets 116 - 124 Cavaliers +2100 -2500 Odds
Sun 29 Thunder 91 - 107 Cavaliers +300 -323 Odds
Mon 30 Cavaliers 97 - 104 Mavs -175 +167 Odds
February 2017 (11)
Wed 1 Wolves 97 - 125 Cavaliers +235 -256 Odds
Sat 4 Cavaliers 111 - 104 Knicks -175 +160 Odds
Mon 6 Cavaliers 140 - 135 Wizards -116 +105 Odds
Wed 8 Cavaliers 132 - 117 Pacers -154 +145 Odds
Thu 9 Cavaliers 109 - 118 Thunder +102 -112 Odds
Sat 11 Nuggets 109 - 125 Cavaliers +675 -769 Odds
Tue 14 Cavaliers 116 - 108 Wolves -164 +155 Odds
Wed 15 Pacers 104 - 113 Cavaliers +211 -250 Odds
Thu 23 Knicks 104 - 119 Cavaliers +580 -625 Odds
Sat 25 Bulls 117 - 99 Cavaliers +220 -238 Odds
Mon 27 Bucks 95 - 102 Cavaliers
March 2017 (17)
Wed 1 Cavaliers 99 - 103 Celtics +106 -125 Odds
Fri 3 Cavaliers 135 - 130 Hawks -135 +127 Odds
Sat 4 Cavaliers 92 - 120 Miami Heat +325 -357 Odds
Mon 6 Miami Heat 106 - 98 Cavaliers +450 -526 Odds
Thu 9 Cavaliers 101 - 106 Pistons Odds
Sat 11 Cavaliers 116 - 104 Magic -400 +355 Odds
Sun 12 Cavaliers 112 - 117 Rockets +255 -278 Odds
Tue 14 Pistons 96 - 128 Cavaliers +275 -303 Odds
Thu 16 Utah Jazz 83 - 91 Cavaliers +330 -345 Odds
Sat 18 Cavaliers 78 - 108 Clippers +875 -1111 Odds
Sun 19 Cavaliers 125 - 120 Lakers -769 +639 Odds
Wed 22 Cavaliers 113 - 126 Nuggets -128 +120 Odds
Fri 24 Cavaliers 112 - 105 Hornets -161 +150 Odds
Sat 25 Wizards 127 - 115 Cavaliers +211 -227 Odds
Mon 27 Cavaliers 74 - 103 Spurs +190 -196 Odds
Thu 30 Cavaliers 93 - 99 Bulls -217 +200 Odds
Fri 31 Sixers 105 - 122 Cavaliers +416 -500 Odds
April 2017 (11)
Sun 2 Pacers 130 - 135 Cavaliers +330 -370 Odds
Tue 4 Magic 102 - 122 Cavaliers +575 -714 Odds
Wed 5 Cavaliers 114 - 91 Celtics +160 -175 Odds
Fri 7 Hawks 114 - 100 Cavaliers +1175 -1667 Odds
Sun 9 Cavaliers 125 - 126 Hawks -200 +185 Odds
Mon 10 Cavaliers 121 - 124 Miami Heat +465 -556 Odds
Wed 12 Raptors 98 - 83 Cavaliers -149 Odds
Sat 15 Pacers 108 - 109 Cavaliers +420 -476 Odds
Mon 17 Pacers 111 - 117 Cavaliers +395 -435 Odds
Thu 20 Cavaliers 119 - 114 Pacers -112 +115 Odds
Sun 23 Cavaliers 106 - 102 Pacers -161 +152 Odds
May 2017 (9)
Mon 1 Raptors 105 - 116 Cavaliers +295 -303 Odds
Wed 3 Raptors 103 - 125 Cavaliers +305 -333 Odds
Fri 5 Cavaliers 115 - 94 Raptors -135 +140 Odds
Sun 7 Cavaliers 109 - 102 Raptors -286 +262
Wed 17 Cavaliers 117 - 104 Celtics -185 +165 Odds
Fri 19 Cavaliers 130 - 86 Celtics -227 +1284 Odds
Sun 21 Celtics 111 - 108 Cavaliers +2000 -2500 Odds
Tue 23 Celtics 99 - 112 Cavaliers +1350 -2000 Odds
Thu 25 Cavaliers 135 - 102 Celtics -526 +450 Odds
June 2017 (5)
Thu 1 Cavaliers 91 - 113 Warriors +280 -313 Odds
Sun 4 Cavaliers 113 - 132 Warriors +350 -400 Odds
Wed 7 Warriors 118 - 113 Cavaliers -145 +140 Odds
Fri 9 Warriors 116 - 137 Cavaliers -175 +175 Odds
Mon 12 Cavaliers 120 - 129 Warriors +340 -385 Odds

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