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Wed 31/05/2017 - 03:48 EDT

Golden State Vs. Cleveland Vegas Betting Odds

NBA Finals wagering advice

All betting lines brought to you by Topbet

Golden State Warriors (-260) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (+200)

Let’s cut to the chase here: You shouldn’t be betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers to win the NBA Finals. 

It sounds ridiculous. They are the reigning champs! They have LeBron James! They’re 12-1 through their first 13 playoff games!

All that is true, but the Golden State Warriors are the noticeably better team, and the sportsbooks are treating them that way. And they’re even being kind. Playoff probability models view the Cavaliers in a lesser light. Very few, if any, are giving them more than a 30 percent chance to win. 

And rightfully so. 

The Cavaliers have the postseason’s best offense, according to NBA.com, and it isn’t even slightly close. They’re tallying 120.7 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors themselves are the next closest team, and they’re putting in 115.8 points per 100 possessions—nearly five points less.

Looking beyond the fact that Golden State has turned to its reserves in garbage time more, thereby diminishing its offensive returns overall, Cleveland is free to score as much as it wants. It still won’t be able to defend the Warriors. That’s the upshot of them adding Kevin Durant: The previous method of leaving Harrison Barnes unattended no longer makes sense, because he’s been replaced by one of the best, most dead-eye shooters in NBA history.

In no uncertain terms, the Cavaliers will be lucky to last six games against this group. And it’s fine to give them six games, because again, they have LeBron. He is playing the best postseason basketball of his career. Having him at his peak, with Kyrie Irving scoring as efficiently as he is in isolation situations, could and should be good for two victories.

It’s futile to bet on them winning the entire shebang, though. It’s not going to happen. If it does, it’ll be a miracle. And you need way more than +200 returns to bet on long-shot miracles. 

warriors

In the event you are going to bet on the Cavaliers, you might as well wait until after Game 1 or even Game 2, when they’re presumably down in the series score and the potential return is even more lucrative. You’ll want to wager money you’re more than ready to lose, but otherwise, this is the way to go if you’re bent on investing in the Cavaliers.

As for the Warriors, you can roll with their moneyline now. Bankrolling -260 returns isn’t totally terrible. But picking the length of the series will snag you an even bigger possible profit. Betting on a sweep, for instance, yields +550 odds. Rolling with the Warriors in five games gets you +250.

Our pick, though, lies with the Warriors in six games. Once again, we’re counting on the history between these two teams, coupled with the stakes, the improvement of Cleveland’s supporting cast and the sheer willpower of LeBron, resulting in two victories. 

Expecting anything more out of the Cavaliers, though, is a recipe for disaster.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors (-260) in six games (+375)

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Competitions Away Score Home Money Line
October 2017 (12)
Wed 4 Hawks 19:00 Cavaliers
Fri 6 Pacers 19:30 Cavaliers
Sun 8 Cavaliers 19:00 Wizards
Tue 10 Bulls 19:00 Cavaliers
Fri 13 Cavaliers 19:00 Magic
Tue 17 Celtics 20:00 Cavaliers
Fri 20 Cavaliers 19:00 Bucks
Sat 21 Magic 20:00 Cavaliers
Tue 24 Bulls 19:00 Cavaliers
Wed 25 Cavaliers 19:30 Nets
Sat 28 Cavaliers 19:00 Pelicans
Sun 29 Knicks 19:00 Cavaliers
November 2017 (15)
Wed 1 Pacers 19:00 Cavaliers
Fri 3 Cavaliers 19:00 Wizards
Sun 5 Hawks 15:00 Cavaliers
Tue 7 Bucks 19:00 Cavaliers
Thu 9 Cavaliers 20:00 Rockets
Sat 11 Cavaliers 20:30 Mavs
Mon 13 Cavaliers 19:30 Knicks
Wed 15 Cavaliers 20:00 Hornets
Fri 17 Clippers 19:30 Cavaliers
Mon 20 Cavaliers 19:00 Pistons
Wed 22 Nets 19:00 Cavaliers
Fri 24 Hornets 20:00 Cavaliers
Mon 27 Cavaliers 19:00 Sixers
Tue 28 Miami Heat 19:00 Cavaliers
Thu 30 Cavaliers 19:30 Hawks
December 2017 (14)
Sat 2 Grizzlies 19:30 Cavaliers
Mon 4 Cavaliers 20:00 Bulls
Wed 6 Kings 19:00 Cavaliers
Fri 8 Cavaliers 19:00 Pacers
Sat 9 Sixers 20:00 Cavaliers
Tue 12 Hawks 19:00 Cavaliers
Thu 14 Lakers 20:00 Cavaliers
Sat 16 Utah Jazz 19:30 Cavaliers
Sun 17 Cavaliers 18:00 Wizards
Tue 19 Cavaliers 20:00 Bucks
Thu 21 Bulls 19:00 Cavaliers
Mon 25 Cavaliers 15:00 Warriors
Wed 27 Cavaliers 22:00 Kings
Sat 30 Cavaliers 20:00 Utah Jazz
January 2018 (14)
Tue 2 Blazers 19:00 Cavaliers
Wed 3 Cavaliers 20:00 Celtics
Sat 6 Cavaliers 19:00 Magic
Mon 8 Cavaliers 20:00 Wolves
Thu 11 Cavaliers 20:00 Raptors
Fri 12 Cavaliers 19:00 Pacers
Mon 15 Warriors 20:00 Cavaliers
Thu 18 Magic 19:00 Cavaliers
Sat 20 Thunder 15:30 Cavaliers
Tue 23 Cavaliers 20:00 Spurs
Fri 26 Pacers 19:30 Cavaliers
Sun 28 Pistons 18:00 Cavaliers
Tue 30 Cavaliers 20:00 Pistons
Wed 31 Miami Heat 19:30 Cavaliers
February 2018 (10)
Sat 3 Rockets 20:30 Cavaliers
Tue 6 Cavaliers 19:00 Magic
Wed 7 Wolves 20:00 Cavaliers
Fri 9 Cavaliers 19:30 Hawks
Sun 11 Cavaliers 15:30 Celtics
Tue 13 Cavaliers 20:00 Thunder
Thu 22 Wizards 20:00 Cavaliers
Fri 23 Cavaliers 20:00 Grizzlies
Sun 25 Spurs 15:30 Cavaliers
Tue 27 Nets 19:00 Cavaliers
March 2018 (16)
Thu 1 Sixers 20:00 Cavaliers
Sat 3 Nuggets 19:30 Cavaliers
Mon 5 Pistons 19:00 Cavaliers
Wed 7 Cavaliers 22:30 Nuggets
Fri 9 Cavaliers 22:30 Clippers
Sun 11 Cavaliers 21:00 Lakers
Tue 13 Cavaliers 22:00 Suns
Thu 15 Cavaliers 22:00 Blazers
Sat 17 Cavaliers 20:00 Bulls
Mon 19 Bucks 19:00 Cavaliers
Wed 21 Raptors 19:00 Cavaliers
Fri 23 Suns 19:30 Cavaliers
Sun 25 Cavaliers 13:00 Nets
Tue 27 Cavaliers 20:00 Miami Heat
Wed 28 Cavaliers 19:00 Hornets
Fri 30 Pelicans 20:00 Cavaliers
April 2018 (6)
Sun 1 Mavs 18:00 Cavaliers
Tue 3 Raptors 19:00 Cavaliers
Thu 5 Wizards 20:00 Cavaliers
Fri 6 Cavaliers 19:00 Sixers
Mon 9 Cavaliers 19:30 Knicks
Wed 11 Knicks 20:00 Cavaliers

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